Singapore Sees Downside Risks Despite Recent Jump in Exports

Singapore Trade & Industry Minister Chan Chun Sing said there are many “downside risks” to the economy despite recent data showing a surprise improvement in exports.

“We are quietly encouraged by some of the positive numbers coming in for the first quarter despite the headwinds,” Chan said in an interview Wednesday with Bloomberg Television’s Haslinda Amin. Still, the government is “not complacent” as “the downside risks are still many.”

The city state’s heavily trade-reliant economy has taken a beating from the coronavirus outbreak and restrictions imposed to contain it, with preliminary data showing gross domestic product plunged 2.2% in the first quarter from a year earlier, the worst performance since the global financial crisis.

Data this week showed non-oil domestic exports unexpectedly gained 9.7% in April, though that was mostly due to a jump in the volatile pharmaceuticals category from a low base in the same period last year.

Chan said it’s “too early to say if the worst is over for the global economy” as infections rates rise in some places where they previously were under control.

Singapore said yesterday it will begin reopening some businesses from June 2, resulting in three-quarters of the economy resuming operation. Sectors like manufacturing, finance, insurance and wholesale trade will be able to restart.

Chan said authorities are looking at establishing travel corridors with other countries, such as China, Australia, New Zealand, and South Korea, once they’ve settled on shared protocols.

He also warned against countries responding with trade protectionist measures and competitive currency devaluations.

The government is set to release a final first-quarter GDP figure May 26, and may then revise its current projection that the economy will contract 1% to 4% this year. Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat is also expected to announce details of a fourth stimulus package on the same day.